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 Time 2007-12-16 13:00:00 |
WIN
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I pick "
(262) CLE Browns
".
Don't let Buffalo's 7-6 record fool you. The ledger was built up due to a ridiculously easy schedule that allowed the Bill's to garner two victories each against the lowly Miami Dolphins and New York Jets. As a matter of fact, ALL of Buffalo's wins have come against sub-500 teams this year. Teams that sport a combined 21-70 record. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Browns are a perfect 5-0 both SU and ATS at home with Derek Anderson starting. This team has also AVERAGED 36 ppg over their last five home contests. What you have here are two poor defenses (both ranked in the bottom five) and one very solid offense. Look for the Browns physical offensive line to dominate the Bills small defensive front and then for Anderson to burn a Buffalo secondary that's allowing 254 yppg. Play Cleveland
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Time 2007-11-18 16:15:00 |
WIN
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I pick "
(432) SEA Seahawks
".
The Bears and Seahawks battle at deafening Quest Field on Sunday in a contest that sets up perfectly for the hosts. One, Seattle is in double revenge mode here, as they fell to Chicago twice last year, including a heartbreaking 27-24 overtime road setback in the divisional playoffs. Two, the Seahawks have the luxury of playing their fourth home game in five weeks while the Bears are travelling for the third time in four weekends, including back-to-back west coast trips. Three, now that Seattle's wide receivers are all healthy, Matt Hassellbeck has started putting up big numbers (57 of 87 for 596 yards and 4 touchdowns the last 2 games) while Chicago will be forced to go with pro football's "human turnover" Rex Grossman due to Brian Griese's shoulder injury. Play Seattle
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Time 2007-11-11 13:00:00 |
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I pick "
under
".
It's deja vu all over again this Sunday afternoon as the Tennessee Titans host the Jacksonville Jaguars. Just eight weeks ago these two offensively-challenged squads met in Jacksonville as the visting Titans won 13-10. No reason to expect anything different this time around, especially with the Jaguars playing without starting quarterback David Garrard and Tennessee's Vince Young still slowed by a leg injury. Jacksonville has held 5 of 8 opponents to 17 points or less on the year and the Titans have been even stingier, limiting foes to 14 points or less 6 times! Two rugged defenses and a grass field makes this call easy. Play under
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| Visitor vs Home |
Score |
Spread |
Total |
Money |
183 Kansas
184 Oklahoma St
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0
0
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Time 2007-11-10 20:00:00 |
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I pick "
(184) Oklahoma St
".
Make no mistake, the 9-0 Kansas Jayhawks are an excellent football team. But, beating the likes of Nebraska, Texas A&M, Colorado and Baylor (a combined 7-17 in Big 12 play) really doesn't prove much. And, in their toughest league game to date, the Jayhawks barely squeezed by Kansas St., 30-24. But now they face a strong home dog that's played one of the nation's most difficult schedules, a team with multiple offensive weapons that's helped them top 34 points six different times this year. Additionally, Oklahoma St. is 5-0 both SU and ATS the last 5 in this series and also stand a superb 10-3-2 ATS in home finales the last 15 seasons. Play Oklahoma St.
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Time 2007-11-04 13:00:00 |
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I pick "
(419) SDG Chargers
".
The rejuvenated San Diego Chargers travel north to the Metrodome to battle the struggling Minnesota Vikings on Sunday afternoon. I challenge any NFL follower to come up with a weaker group of quarterbacks that the current trio toiling for Minnesota. Tavaris Jackson, Kelly Holcomb and Brooks Bollinger have combined to rank the Vikings 31st in the league in passing! Defensively, Minnesota excels vs the run, but the secondary is a sieve, surrendering a ridiculous 298 yards per game. When San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers gets bored with continually hitting newly acquired wide out Chris Chambers, he can then hook up with the league's very best tight end, Antonio Gates, who matches up so very well vs the Viking's mediocre outside linebackers. Momentum can't be over emphasized in the NFL and the Chargers have won...an covered...three straight games, all by double digits! Play San Diego
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| Visitor vs Home |
Score |
Spread |
Total |
Money |
357 Texas A&M
358 Oklahoma
|
14
42
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Time 2007-11-03 20:00:00 |
WIN
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I pick "
(358) Oklahoma
".
The Oklahoma Sooners host the Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday in Norman with their national championship hopes still intact what with all the shocking losses piling up the past four weeks. And this sets up nicely for the powerful Sooners who are coming off a welcomed bye while A&M is playing for the 10th straight week and this being their third road test in four weeks. The Sooners defensive front has dominated at the point of attack all season long, allowing just 69 yrpg and only 2.0 ypc. That's trouble for an A&M offense that relies almost entirely on their overland game. Conversely, Oklahoma can hurt you by running or throwing the ball, as Sam Bradford averages 234 yppg (20-5 touchdown/interception ratio) and the Allen Patrick/DeMarco Murray duo has gained a combined 1,017 yards (6.1 ypc). The Aggies have struggled this year vs. fast, athletic stop units, losing to Texas Tech and Miami by a combined count of 69-24. Now they face a Sooner "D" that may be the quickest unit in the country, a defense that slammed Maimi 51-13 on this very same field! Play Oklahoma
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Time 2007-10-28 16:15:00 |
WIN
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I pick "
(226) NEW Patriots
".
With the Patriots facing a "battle of unbeatens" next week vs Indianapolis, your gut instinct might be to grab the huge points and play the Redskins this week. FORGETTABOUTIT. When a seemingly unstoppable force is rolling downhill, as New England is, don't step in front of the train folks! Right now this team shows NO WEAKNESSESS. The defense ranks 3rd in the league and will face a one-dimensional Redskin attack that is guided by a quarterback (Jason Campbell) with just 13 starts in his pro career. And the offense, with Tom Brady having close to a perfect season (27 touchdowns passes vs 2 interceptions), improves this week with the return of running back Laurence Maroney. The Patriots simply haven't given up many meaningful scores (most coming after Brady and Company have put their team up by 21 points or more) and should dominate a makeshift Washington offensive line that is without three starters. It's a big number but New England is AVERAGING 40 points per game on the year, allowing them to extend those impressive fourth quarter leads. Play New England
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| Visitor vs Home |
Score |
Spread |
Total |
Money |
185 Ohio St
186 Penn St
|
37
17
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Time 2007-10-27 20:00:00 |
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I pick "
(186) Penn St
".
Tough to "buck" the nation's top ranked team, but this spot begs for a call on the powerful conference home dog holding revenge. It's not Ohio St's fault, as they can only play whoever is on their schedule, but who have they beaten this year? Not a single ranked team is numbered among the eight victims. Meanwhile Penn St. has faced the likes of Indiana, Wisconsin, Illinois and Michigan. Also, in a battle of two of the nation's very best defenses, prefer to side with the veteran senior quarterback Anthony Morrelli over junior Todd Boeckman, who will face the nation's top sack unit (35 sacks on the year). Don't be misled by last year's rout at Columbus as the Buckeye's had just 13 more total yards than the Lions and actually trailed in first downs, 16-14. The home team in this series is a remarkable 9-0 both SU and ATS over the last nine years, Paterno stands a money-making 5-1 as a rare home dog and Penn St. is a blistering 19-1 SU the last 20 at Happy Valley! Play Penn St.
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Time 2007-10-21 13:00:00 |
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I pick "
(406) WAS Redskins
".
Matt Leinart is out, Kurt Warner is very questionable and that leaves journeyman Tim Rattay who last week threw three interceptions (31.8 quarterback rating) in Arizona's 25-10 home loss to mediocre Carolina. On the day, Rattay guided this troops to just 10 points and 10 first downs. Now he'll likely get the road start and face a Redskin stop unit that just limited Brett Favre to 188 yards and a pair of interceptions. As a matter of fact, Washington's stingy secondary has surrendered just two touchdown passes on the year and none the last two weeks vs Green Bay and Detroit. So, if you can't generate a lot of offense, then you turn to your "D"....right? Wrong! The Cardinals have allowed 20, 26 and 31 points in a trio of road games this year. And those performances came at St. Louis, Baltimore and San Francisco....three lumbering attacks that have averaged a combined 14.5 ppg on the year! Play Washington
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Time 2007-10-20 20:30:00 |
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I pick "
(393) New Mexico
".
Talk about a series being totally dominated by one side....New Mexico has WON AND COVERED six consecutive games against San Diego St. and is 11-1 against the number going back over the last 11 meetings! Over the last two years, the Lobos won by a combined score of 88-38. New Mexico has thrived under the guidance of head coach Rocky Long, especially in the second half of seasons, going a money-making 25-10 ATS over the last five campaigns. The Aztecs, who returned just 4 starters on defense, rank a pathetic 115th in the nation defensively (allow 5.0ypc/304 yppg), so it's hardly surprising that they've dropped half of their contests this year by 21 points or more. Look for the well balance Lobos, guided by quarterback Donovan Porterie (253 yppg, 63%) and running back Rodney Ferguson (109 yrpg) to both have big games. Play New Mexico
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